Games and odds · free tool

Prediction Simulator: Test a Predictor’s Record

Updated 8 October 2026 · 5 minute read

A prediction claims to know what comes next. This simulator does the opposite: it makes fair random rounds, then shows how often luck alone matches a predictor’s record and what streaks, pattern rules and doubling after a loss really do.

Tool · runs in your browserNothing is uploaded

1. Could luck alone have done that?

Type what a predictor, app or channel claims. The tool shows how often a blind guesser would do as well, worked out exactly. It predicts nothing and reads no results.

Use 50 for a two-way call such as big or small. As an illustration, a colour that covers 4 digits of 10 is 40, and one number is 10. Use the chances your own app states.

80%hit rate claimed: 8 right out of 10 calls
5.47%chance that blind guessing, right 50% of the time, does at least this well
1 in 18blind guessers that look this good
55 of 1,000blind guessers in the crowd that would look this good
± 31.6 pointshow far luck alone moves a hit rate over this many calls
14calls before a hit rate this high would happen to blind guessing less than 1 time in 100

A predictor that gets 8 of 10 calls right has a hit rate of 80%. Blind guessing, right 50% of the time, does at least that well 5.47% of the time, so among 1,000 blind guessers about 55 would look this good. If the same hit rate held over about 14 calls, blind guessing would manage it less than 1 time in 100. A hit rate in the past says nothing about the next call.

Blind guessing over 10 calls, right 50% of the time, with 1,000 guessers
Hit rateRight out of 10Chance blind guessing does this wellGuessers that would look this good
55%637.7%377
60%637.7%377
65%717.2%172
70%717.2%172
80%85.47%55

2. What random rounds look like

about 7longest streak of one colour that chance alone usually gives in 100 rounds
54.6%chance of 6 or more in a row of a colour you name in advance
80.7%chance of 6 or more in a row of either colour
8.8%chance of 9 or more in a row of a colour you name in advance
16.9%chance of 9 or more in a row of either colour

In 100 fair rounds with a 50% chance of green, a run of 6 or more of one colour you name in advance turns up 54.6% of the time, and a run of 9 or more 8.8% of the time. If either colour counts, the figures are 80.7% and 16.9%. Streaks like these are what chance looks like, and none of them says anything about the next round.

Chance of a streak of at least this length somewhere in 100 rounds (green 50%)
Streak of at leastA colour you name in advanceEither colour
5 in a row81.0%97.2%
6 in a row54.6%80.7%
7 in a row31.8%54.2%
8 in a row17.0%31.5%
10 in a row4.4%8.7%
12 in a row1.1%2.2%

3. Do the popular “systems” beat guessing?

Four rules people swear by, each run over 100,000 fair rounds. A guess is right 50% of the time.

50.26%best score of four popular rules over 99,995 fair rounds
49.74%worst score of the four
0.26 pointsfurthest any rule sits from the 50% that plain guessing gets
± 0.32 pointshow far luck alone moves a score over that many rounds
± 31.6 pointshow far luck alone moves a score over just 10 calls

Four popular rules were each scored on one fixed run of 100,000 fair rounds, every guess made from the rounds before it. All four land within 0.26 points of 50%, which is what guessing gives. Over just 10 calls luck alone moves a hit rate by about 31.6 points either way, so a short record cannot tell a clever rule from a lucky one.

Four popular rules on one fixed run of 100,000 fair rounds
SystemRounds testedRight
Repeat the last result99,99549.95%
Pick the opposite of the last result99,99550.05%
Follow the majority of the last five99,99550.26%
Fade the majority of the last five99,99549.74%

4. The double-after-loss plan

Defaults: a two-way bet that pays 2× with a 2% fee, so it is not quite 50/50. Use the numbers your app states.

7losses in a row your bankroll can absorb
89%chance the plan breaks at least once in 500 rounds
₹1,270lost when it breaks
₹10won each time the first bet wins
-₹3average result of one full cycle

A ₹10 first bet with ₹1,270 set aside can absorb 7 losses in a row, and over 500 rounds the plan breaks at least once 89% of the time. Small wins most of the time, one big loss now and then, and the average is below zero. The plan changes how the loss arrives, not whether it does.

The same plan with bankrolls that cover 4 to 8 losses in a row (₹10 first bet, 500 rounds)
BankrollLosses in a row it absorbsLost if the plan breaksChance of a breakAverage result of one cycle
₹1504₹150over 99.9%-₹2
₹3105₹310over 99.9%-₹2
₹6306₹63098.9%-₹2
₹1,2707₹1,27089.5%-₹3
₹2,5508₹2,55067.7%-₹3

What this tool does

Predictors claim to know the next result. This tool works the other way round. It draws fair random rounds of its own, then puts popular claims and rules to the test on them. It has no link to any platform and reads no real result. Here, “fair” only means that each round is drawn in the same way and none looks back at an earlier one.

We cannot see inside BDG Win or any platform, so nothing here describes how a platform picks its results. The point is smaller. A tool kept outside a platform can only study rounds that are already over, and for the next one it has to guess like anyone else.

Test one: could luck match the record?

The first box takes four numbers: the calls checked (a call is one prediction for one round), the calls that were right, the chance that a blind guess is right, and how many channels or tools are in the crowd. A blind guess is one made with no information. Enter 50 for a two-way call, as an illustration. The box opens on a channel that shows 8 right out of its last 10.

Blind guessing matches that 5.47% of the time, about 1 in 18. Among 1,000 channels, around 55 would post such a record by luck alone. Try 60 right out of 100 and the chance falls to 2.84%, or 28 of 1,000. At 70 out of 100, luck would manage it about once in 25,480 tries.

Here is what luck can do over 20 calls.

Hit rate over 20 callsRightChance blind guessing does this wellOf 1,000 guessers
55%1141.2%412
60%1225.2%252
65%1313.2%132
70%145.77%58
80%160.59%6

To test a real channel, write each call down before its result, keep your own tally and type the totals in. A channel you found because it looked good was picked from the crowd.

Test two: streaks

The second test draws rounds and outlines the longest run of one colour. Over 100 rounds, chance usually produces a longest run of about 7. A run of 6 or more of a colour named beforehand appears 54.6% of the time, and of either colour 80.7%. Even 9 or more of either colour appears 16.9% of the time. Runs like these are normal, and they say nothing about round 101.

Test three: four pattern rules

The third test scores four popular rules over 99,995 fair rounds from one fixed run. Pure guessing scores 50%.

RuleRight
Repeat the last result49.95%
Pick the opposite of the last result50.05%
Follow the majority of the last five50.26%
Fade the majority of the last five49.74%

No rule strays more than 0.26 points from 50%, and at that length luck alone shifts a score by about 0.32 points. With only 10 calls, as in the first box, luck shifts it by about 31.6 points, so a clever rule and a lucky streak look alike.

Test four: doubling after a loss

The fourth test asks for the first bet, the money set aside as a bankroll, how likely a round is to win, what a win pays, the fee and how many rounds you plan. It opens with ₹10, ₹1,270, 49%, 2× and 2% over 500 rounds. That bankroll can pay for 7 losses in a row. In 89% of 500-round runs the plan breaks at least once, and a break costs the whole ₹1,270 while each first-bet win gains ₹10.

A bigger bankroll delays the break without removing it. ₹2,550, enough for 8 losses in a row, still breaks in 67.7% of 500-round runs.

What it cannot tell you

  • It cannot read a platform’s rounds, so it cannot say how a platform produces its results.
  • The record test trusts the tally you type, and it assumes every call was written down before its result.
  • The rule scores come from one fixed run, which is why they match this page every time.

For what hack, bot and predictor offers ask of your phone, read the hack guide. To price a session, use the loss calculator. For colour-and-number rounds with exact odds, try the Wingo odds calculator. The tools page has the rest.

Common questions

How do I test a prediction channel I found on Telegram?

Do not trust the record it posts, because a channel shows its good stretches. Write each call down before the result and keep your own tally. Then type the calls and the number right into the first test. If blind guessing matches your tally in a fair share of tries, luck explains it, and the last tile says how many calls it would take to rule luck out.

What number do I type for the chance that a blind guess is right?

Use 50 for a two-way call such as big or small. As an illustration, a colour that covers 4 digits of 10 is 40, and one number is 10. These are the chances such rounds are commonly described as having, so use the chances your own game states.

If one colour has come six times in a row, is the other one due?

No. In 100 fair rounds, a run of 6 or more of either colour turns up 80.7% of the time, so it is ordinary. Each round is drawn fresh and does not look at the last one. Waiting for a colour to be due is a thought, not a signal.

What does the button that plays one random path show?

It plays one made-up run of the doubling plan beside a run of flat bets of the same size, and draws both balances over time. Press it a few times. The doubling line often climbs gently and then drops sharply. It uses pretend money and your browser’s random numbers, and it is not any app’s game.

Does doubling after a loss turn a losing game into a winning one?

No. It swaps many small wins for a rare large loss. With a ₹10 first bet and ₹1,270 set aside, the plan breaks at least once in 89% of 500-round runs, and the average cycle still comes out about ₹3 below zero. Doubling reshapes the loss into a rare big one. It does not remove it.

Does the simulator say anything about how BDG Win draws its results?

No. It draws its own rounds and never touches a platform’s, and we cannot see inside BDG Win or any platform. What it gives you is a yardstick: how good a record luck alone can produce. How a platform makes its rounds is outside what we can check.

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